In 52 Days
Fed Decision in Jun 2026
Selection | Chance to Win |
|---|---|
0bps (Unchanged) | 99% |
Cut <=25bps | 10% |
Cut >25bps | 3% |
Hike >0bps | -% |
In 4 Days
ECB Interest Rates in Apr 2026
Selection | Chance to Win |
|---|---|
Hike >0bps | 10% |
Cut >25bps | 6% |
Cut <=25bps | 6% |
0bps (Unchanged) | -% |
In 12 Days
Unemployment Rate in Apr 2026
Selection | Chance to Win |
|---|---|
4.4% | 40% |
4.3% | 39% |
4.0% | 38% |
4.2% | 30% |
<=3.9% | 29% |
4.6% | 26% |
4.1% | 21% |
4.5% | 21% |
>=4.7% | 11% |
View All
In 94 Days
Fed Decision in Jul 2026
Selection | Chance to Win |
|---|---|
0bps (Unchanged) | 88% |
Cut <=25bps | 16% |
Hike <=25bps | 8% |
Cut >25bps | 8% |
Hike >25bps | 6% |
View All
In 12 Days
Jobs Added in Apr 2026
Selection | Chance to Win |
|---|---|
200k - 250k | 77% |
100k - 150k | 74% |
>250k | 60% |
50k - 100k | 56% |
-50k - 0 | 44% |
0 - 50k | 42% |
<-50k | 21% |
150k - 200k | 15% |
View All
In 46 Days
ECB Interest Rates in Jun 2026
Selection | Chance to Win |
|---|---|
Hike <=25bps | 78% |
0bps (Unchanged) | 59% |
Cut <=25bps | 12% |
Hike >25bps | 11% |
Cut >25bps | 7% |
View All
In 309 Days
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Selection | Chance to Win |
|---|---|
Yes | 94% |
In 16 Days
Inflation in Apr 2026
Selection | Chance to Win |
|---|---|
0.6% | 54% |
0.5% | 44% |
0.7% | 42% |
0.8% | 42% |
0.4% | 36% |
>=1.1% | 30% |
<=0.3% | 10% |
1.0% | 9% |
0.9% | 9% |
View All
In 249 Days
2026 Rank Among Hottest Years on Record
Selection | Chance to Win |
|---|---|
2 | 62% |
1 | 43% |
3 | 10% |
4 | 9% |
5 | 6% |
6+ | -% |
View All
Disclaimer:
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