Predict the outcome of Length of the Ceremony

Length of the Ceremony

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All

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

Over 3.5 Hours -%

Under 3.5 Hours -%

Length of the Ceremony

Selection

Outcome

Over 3.5 Hours

Yes

Under 3.5 Hours

No

Timeline

1

Opens

Mar 11, 2026

2

Closes

Mar 16, 2026 3:59 am UTC

3

Payment Issued

1 hour after results are determined

How it works

This market resolves based on the total duration of the 2026 Academy Awards live broadcast. Duration is measured from the exact moment the first word is spoken live on stage (by a host, announcer, or performer) to officially initiate the ceremony. The measurement ends the exact moment the final word is spoken live on stage (by an award winner, presenter, or host) before the broadcast transitions to the closing production credits. Pre-recorded voiceovers, video packages, and music do not count toward the first or last word. This market resolves to "Over" if the calculated duration is strictly greater than 3 hours and 30 minutes. It resolves to "Under" if the calculated duration is exactly 3 hours and 30 minutes or less. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official live broadcast of the 2026 Academy Awards. The official resolution sources are the agencies listed in RULE 14.67 in the CDNA Rulebook, which can be found here [https://www.nadex.com/rules/]. Liquidity may be low during the event. Trading is temporarily paused during scheduled maintenance periods.

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Estimated Total
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Return (If Correct)
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