Kentucky 4th District Republican Primary Winner

Predict the outcome of Kentucky 4th District Republican Primary Winner

Kentucky 4th District Republican Primary Winner

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All

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

Thomas Massie 82%

Ed Gallrein 30%

Kentucky 4th District Republican Primary Winner

Selection

Chance to Win

Thomas Massie

82%

Ed Gallrein

30%

Timeline

1

Opens

May 2, 2026

2

Closes

May 21, 2026 3:59 am UTC

3

Payment Issued

1 hour after results are determined

How it works

The market resolves when the winner of the 2026 Republican Primary for U.S. House from Kentucky's 4th Congressional District is announced. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off, as reported by a Source Agency. If the Kentucky 4th District Republican U.S. House Primary does not take place, all corresponding contracts will resolve to "No." The official resolution sources are the agencies listed in Rule 14.62(c) in the CDNA Rulebook, which can be found here [https://www.nadex.com/rules/\]. The notice of submission pursuant to CFTC regulation 40.2(a) for Rule 14.62 can be found here [https://www.cftc.gov/filings/ptc/ptc07302527646.pdf]. Liquidity may be low after the election results start coming in. Trading is temporarily paused during scheduled maintenance periods. Settlement Source: Rule 14.62 (c) in the CDNA Rulebook

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Kentucky 4th District Republican Primary Winner

Thomas Massie Yes

Estimated Total
$0.82
Return (If Correct)
$1