How it works

You receive a US$1 return per contract if your prediction is correct and nothing if it is incorrect. This market resolves based on the change in basis points to the ECB deposit facility rate, compared to its level before the ECB meeting on 22-23 July 2026. The official resolution source is the ECB’s published rate data: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html Liquidity may be low during the ECB meeting. Trading is temporarily paused during scheduled maintenance periods.