Predict the outcome of Fed Rate Cuts in 2025

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025

All

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

3 (75 bps) 67%

2 (50 bps) 23%

4 (100 bps) 6%

1 (25 bps) 5%

Fed Rate Cuts in 2025

Selection

Chance to Win

3 (75 bps)

67%

2 (50 bps)

23%

4 (100 bps)

6%

1 (25 bps)

5%

5 (125 bps)

2%

8 or more (200+ bps)

1%

1-6 of 9 items

Timeline

1

Opens

Jul 9, 2025

2

Closes

Jan 1, 2026 3:59 am UTC

3

Payment Issued

1 hour after results are determined

How it works

You receive a US$10 return per contract if your prediction is correct and nothing if it is incorrect. The outcome is determined by the exact number of rate cuts made by the Fed by the end of its December 2025 meeting (no more, no less), according to the official calendar https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. A rate cut is defined as a reduction in the upper bound of the federal funds target range: 25bps cut counts as 1 cut, 50bps cut counts as 2 cuts, 75 bps cut counts as 3 cuts, and so on. Any cut between 1-24 bps still counts as 1 cut. Trading is temporarily paused during scheduled maintenance periods. The resolution source will be the FOMC statements released at the official website of the Federal Reserve https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.

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Fed Rate Cuts in 2025

3 (75 bps) Yes

Estimated Total
$6.7
Return (If Correct)
$10